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Stock tank level prediction requires the utilization of the previously presented models.
A forward prediction of stock tank levels was made drawing from cane receival, stock tank and vacuum pan control system data for Racecourse mill on 03/09/2004.
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Using forward prediction of vacuum pan states and the key process models discussed, a 90 minute future forecast of stock tank levels was made utilizing a rolling error average over the three previous 15 minute intervals.
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High correlation between predictions and actual tank levels.
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The overall strategic management of the pan stage is quite difficult.
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Often the pan stage is managed in a sub-optimal manner because an overview of operations encompassing various sections is not available.
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The system seeks to provide a unifying structure to assist pan stage operators in making early decisions with respect to sugar quality, sugar recovery and minimization of steam consumption on the total pan stage.
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The smart supervisory control system is a hybrid fuzzy expert system incorporating fuzzy logic, explanatory capabilities and industrial process models of the crystallisation stage.
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Presently the most difficult part of process modelling has been completed and the construction of the advisory system is under way.
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The system hopes to contribute both to the field of fuzzy logic based expert system design and to the development of industrial process models for the crystallisation stage within a sugar factory.
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The project contributors would like to thank the staff at Racecourse Sugar Mill (Mackay, Australia) for their cooperation and support.
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Support for this research is provided by means of an ARC Industry Linkage grant and PhD scholarship.
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The funding assistance provided by SRI is also acknowledged and appreciated.